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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.75+1.25vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.61+1.60vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.64-1.78vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.03-1.61vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.27-0.03vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.50-2.51vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.37-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Michigan State University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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4.93Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Michigan-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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4.39University of Notre Dame0.030.1%1st Place
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6.97Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.49Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.06Michigan State University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 14.7% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Billy Vogel | 20.6% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Brittany Shabino | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Grin | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 10.4% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 24.9% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Viscuso | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Emily Williams | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 32.7% |
| Nok In Chan | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 10.9% |
| Kate Crannell | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.