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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.20+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.64+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.75+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.61+1.67vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.27+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.23-2.96vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.37-0.91vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.50-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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3.11University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Michigan-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.82Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Notre Dame0.030.1%1st Place
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4.04Michigan State University0.230.1%1st Place
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7.09Michigan State University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.5Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 4.9% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 18.7% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Billy Vogel | 24.8% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Grin | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 11.3% |
| Emily Williams | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 32.2% |
| Jack Viscuso | 12.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Luke Koerschner | 15.0% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Kate Crannell | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 36.7% |
| Nok In Chan | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.