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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.64+2.15vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.42+5.14vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+1.74vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.23-0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.03-0.85vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.37+0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.61-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.75-5.00vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.27-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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7.14Purdue University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.74Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.8Michigan State University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Notre Dame0.030.1%1st Place
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6.82Michigan State University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Michigan-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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6.71Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Gallagher | 22.0% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Edwin Becker | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 34.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Luke Koerschner | 14.6% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Jack Viscuso | 14.8% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Kate Crannell | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 23.5% | 26.1% |
| Caroline Grin | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 7.9% |
| Billy Vogel | 24.9% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Williams | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.