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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.03+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.75+1.10vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.61+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.64-1.90vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.23-2.16vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.42-0.02vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.37-1.15vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.27-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of Notre Dame0.030.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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4.75Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Michigan-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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3.84Michigan State University0.230.2%1st Place
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6.98Purdue University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.85Michigan State University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.69Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Viscuso | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Billy Vogel | 23.3% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Shabino | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Grin | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 24.8% | 23.1% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Luke Koerschner | 15.3% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Edwin Becker | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 23.7% | 30.4% |
| Kate Crannell | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 29.3% |
| Emily Williams | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 21.1% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.