Race 15A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 24.4% 22.4% 18.0% 12.3% 9.5% 6.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Brittany Shabino 9.6% 8.7% 11.5% 12.6% 12.6% 14.7% 11.7% 9.1% 6.8% 2.7%
Luke Koerschner 14.2% 13.1% 13.8% 15.9% 14.4% 10.9% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Emily Williams 2.6% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 6.8% 9.6% 12.3% 14.1% 19.1% 22.8%
Jack Viscuso 12.3% 12.9% 12.8% 12.6% 13.9% 12.8% 10.4% 7.6% 3.4% 1.3%
Joseph Gallagher 21.3% 21.4% 17.1% 14.7% 11.5% 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Edwin Becker 2.5% 2.2% 3.3% 4.2% 5.6% 9.0% 8.8% 15.4% 21.3% 27.7%
Iain McSweeney 4.4% 5.4% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 10.7% 13.9% 17.2% 14.5% 9.9%
Caroline Grin 6.2% 6.6% 8.7% 9.2% 10.5% 12.1% 14.4% 13.9% 11.5% 6.9%
Kate Crannell 2.5% 4.0% 3.6% 5.4% 6.1% 7.9% 9.9% 13.5% 19.2% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.