Race 1B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 20.2% 19.5% 14.8% 14.5% 12.5% 8.0% 6.5% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Jenna Kozal 9.5% 9.8% 11.8% 13.3% 12.7% 15.2% 12.8% 9.8% 4.2% 0.9%
Abigail Paul 12.2% 11.5% 12.1% 13.6% 15.3% 14.9% 11.7% 6.0% 2.6% 0.1%
Andrew Gallagher 10.3% 12.8% 13.6% 13.2% 15.0% 15.2% 10.7% 6.1% 2.7% 0.4%
Joseph Mowrey 4.6% 4.8% 7.1% 5.4% 8.9% 11.2% 15.5% 21.0% 15.9% 5.6%
Joseph Thuente 26.8% 21.0% 16.6% 16.0% 9.8% 5.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Dominique DeLano 12.1% 14.3% 15.1% 16.2% 13.9% 12.6% 9.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Jolene Jirousek 2.0% 3.5% 4.7% 3.4% 6.7% 7.7% 14.9% 20.9% 24.4% 11.8%
Charlie Lemkuil 1.5% 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 3.2% 7.0% 9.9% 18.7% 28.5% 23.1%
Alexander Maas 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 5.5% 8.7% 19.4% 57.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.