Race 2B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 20.7% 17.8% 16.9% 14.0% 11.3% 9.7% 5.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Joseph Thuente 25.5% 21.0% 17.3% 16.7% 8.6% 5.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Jenna Kozal 9.0% 10.3% 10.9% 10.6% 15.9% 14.2% 15.9% 9.4% 3.3% 0.5%
Dominique DeLano 12.1% 15.5% 15.6% 14.2% 14.9% 13.2% 7.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Abigail Paul 11.8% 12.9% 13.1% 14.5% 14.9% 14.4% 9.9% 6.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Joseph Mowrey 5.0% 4.5% 5.3% 7.6% 7.3% 11.8% 18.4% 17.1% 16.9% 6.1%
Jolene Jirousek 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 4.3% 5.7% 7.5% 15.5% 22.6% 23.7% 12.6%
Andrew Gallagher 10.9% 13.6% 14.1% 12.7% 15.3% 13.5% 9.3% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Charlie Lemkuil 2.1% 1.1% 2.9% 3.6% 3.6% 7.0% 9.5% 18.2% 31.0% 21.0%
Alexander Maas 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 4.1% 9.7% 18.3% 58.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.