← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Leonardo Burnham 27.5% 23.2% 18.4% 14.2% 9.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Jeremy Bullock 22.3% 21.6% 19.1% 14.6% 11.5% 7.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Matteo Asscher 13.0% 14.4% 14.8% 16.0% 15.3% 12.8% 8.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Theresa Straw 18.1% 16.3% 16.8% 16.9% 13.7% 10.3% 4.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Wilfred Hynes 2.9% 3.8% 5.5% 7.1% 8.8% 12.2% 16.9% 24.5% 18.2%
Owen Peterson 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 10.9% 14.2% 16.2% 17.8% 12.6% 6.7%
Ryan Treat 4.5% 5.7% 6.6% 8.8% 11.7% 13.9% 18.5% 20.2% 10.2%
Lucas Wiatrowski 4.5% 6.1% 7.6% 8.3% 11.6% 16.8% 18.3% 17.6% 9.3%
Will Sugerman 1.1% 1.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.1% 6.0% 10.2% 17.0% 54.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.