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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+10.26vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.16+7.77vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.20+12.06vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+1.33vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.50+3.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis2.13+9.95vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92+4.23vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.36+0.39vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-2.23vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-2.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.60+1.90vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay2.30+3.32vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.02+3.34vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon2.76-2.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.36vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound1.26+4.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego2.19-1.52vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-6.03vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-2.04vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego1.78-4.22vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine2.83-11.51vs Predicted
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24University of Texas1.46-4.27vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands1.09-3.51vs Predicted
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27Purdue University0.21-2.14vs Predicted
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28University of California at Los Angeles1.72-9.96vs Predicted
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29Western Washington University1.88-12.19vs Predicted
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30University of California at Berkeley1.18-9.21vs Predicted
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31University of Oregon1.22-10.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.26University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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15.06Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.05Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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15.95University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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6.77California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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7.19Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.9University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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15.32California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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16.34Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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20.32University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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15.48University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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11.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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17.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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17.78University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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19.73University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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21.49California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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24.86Purdue University0.210.0%1st Place
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18.04University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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16.81Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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20.79University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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20.36University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Marks | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hester | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Elliot Drake | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mike Knape | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Matt Foster | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Jack Porter | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 12.4% |
| George Halsted | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 47.2% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Megan Hayes | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 8.7% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.