Race 3A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Castellini 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 10.0% 9.5% 9.4% 8.6% 8.6% 7.6% 5.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.1%
Charlie Herrick 14.4% 13.4% 11.6% 11.7% 9.3% 9.7% 8.7% 6.4% 5.6% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Sam Childers 11.8% 11.2% 10.9% 9.2% 10.2% 9.9% 8.5% 8.9% 6.7% 5.9% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Juan Casal 14.1% 14.1% 11.8% 11.0% 10.7% 9.5% 7.8% 7.3% 5.5% 4.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Nicholas Chesemore 9.2% 9.3% 9.5% 10.2% 9.0% 9.3% 9.4% 8.6% 8.1% 7.3% 5.1% 3.8% 1.1%
Cole Broberg 7.2% 6.1% 7.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 8.3% 8.9% 10.2% 9.8% 8.0% 3.1%
Marco Constantini 5.1% 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 6.2% 5.2% 7.8% 8.1% 7.5% 10.1% 11.7% 13.6% 9.6%
Wyatt Tait 8.6% 8.8% 11.1% 10.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.4% 8.2% 7.9% 6.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.4%
Alden Gort 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 8.3% 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 10.0% 8.3% 8.5% 7.5% 4.1%
Caroline Henry 4.0% 4.3% 4.1% 4.2% 5.5% 5.2% 5.5% 7.5% 8.5% 10.4% 12.7% 16.0% 12.1%
Hayden Johansen 3.8% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% 5.2% 5.7% 6.8% 6.9% 8.6% 9.2% 12.2% 14.2% 15.3%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.9% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 6.3% 7.4% 7.0% 8.0% 9.4% 10.3% 9.8% 12.2% 9.4%
Benjamin Karle 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 3.7% 4.1% 5.9% 7.0% 9.4% 14.2% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.