Race 3B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 21.5% 17.2% 15.6% 13.7% 13.4% 8.9% 5.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Andrew Gallagher 10.8% 12.3% 14.7% 12.3% 13.9% 14.0% 12.4% 6.3% 2.9% 0.4%
Jenna Kozal 8.8% 10.1% 9.5% 13.4% 14.4% 14.0% 16.0% 10.0% 3.0% 0.8%
Dominique DeLano 12.1% 15.3% 15.0% 14.7% 13.4% 14.8% 7.5% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Jolene Jirousek 3.1% 3.6% 3.7% 6.1% 5.2% 7.5% 12.3% 21.6% 25.7% 11.2%
Joseph Mowrey 5.1% 4.5% 6.2% 5.6% 7.5% 12.0% 18.1% 19.6% 15.6% 5.8%
Abigail Paul 9.7% 13.2% 14.4% 13.8% 15.9% 14.2% 9.7% 6.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Joseph Thuente 26.6% 21.3% 16.9% 15.8% 9.7% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Charlie Lemkuil 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 3.2% 4.1% 5.8% 11.0% 16.5% 31.2% 21.7%
Alexander Maas 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 3.5% 5.0% 8.6% 17.5% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.