Race 4B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jenna Kozal 10.5% 10.6% 10.8% 12.6% 14.1% 15.7% 11.9% 8.9% 4.4% 0.5%
Jolene Jirousek 3.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.0% 6.0% 8.3% 11.4% 22.9% 25.3% 12.0%
Samuel Stephens 17.6% 17.0% 16.0% 17.9% 12.2% 9.4% 6.3% 3.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Abigail Paul 11.2% 12.5% 15.1% 14.2% 14.2% 12.9% 12.0% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6%
Joseph Thuente 26.5% 22.2% 17.5% 12.8% 10.2% 5.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Joseph Mowrey 5.0% 4.6% 4.8% 7.3% 6.6% 10.8% 19.9% 19.7% 15.5% 5.8%
Andrew Gallagher 9.7% 13.1% 13.3% 13.0% 15.6% 15.1% 11.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6%
Dominique DeLano 14.1% 13.7% 15.4% 13.7% 14.2% 12.9% 8.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Charlie Lemkuil 1.9% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 4.3% 5.6% 10.1% 19.6% 29.7% 21.4%
Alexander Maas 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.7% 2.6% 3.7% 4.0% 8.8% 18.4% 58.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.