Race 5B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jenna Kozal 10.6% 10.1% 11.0% 13.7% 11.8% 15.3% 14.6% 8.3% 3.8% 0.8%
Samuel Stephens 18.1% 19.1% 17.3% 12.9% 13.8% 10.1% 5.3% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Joseph Thuente 25.8% 21.9% 16.7% 12.9% 11.4% 7.5% 2.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Gallagher 10.6% 13.6% 12.0% 14.0% 15.0% 13.9% 12.1% 6.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Dominique DeLano 13.3% 13.8% 15.4% 15.5% 14.5% 11.9% 8.3% 5.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Abigail Paul 14.1% 11.4% 12.7% 15.5% 13.0% 12.0% 11.1% 7.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Joseph Mowrey 2.8% 4.1% 6.4% 6.5% 8.4% 12.4% 17.5% 20.3% 16.8% 4.8%
Charlie Lemkuil 1.4% 2.3% 3.7% 2.6% 4.3% 6.6% 9.6% 18.8% 28.5% 22.2%
Alexander Maas 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 5.1% 7.9% 19.2% 59.0%
Jolene Jirousek 2.4% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.9% 7.2% 14.3% 20.9% 25.2% 12.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.