Race 6B

first-year-icebreaker

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 19.1% 19.2% 16.7% 14.6% 10.9% 10.1% 5.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Jenna Kozal 9.6% 9.8% 11.3% 12.0% 16.0% 13.7% 14.1% 8.5% 3.8% 1.2%
Joseph Mowrey 4.2% 4.7% 5.2% 7.1% 7.3% 10.9% 16.8% 23.4% 14.9% 5.5%
Abigail Paul 10.9% 12.4% 14.6% 14.0% 14.2% 15.3% 10.5% 5.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Andrew Gallagher 12.3% 11.2% 13.4% 13.4% 15.5% 15.7% 9.3% 6.1% 2.5% 0.6%
Dominique DeLano 13.9% 15.2% 13.7% 16.0% 13.2% 12.4% 9.4% 4.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Charlie Lemkuil 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 6.0% 11.0% 16.9% 31.4% 22.2%
Jolene Jirousek 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.6% 6.9% 7.6% 14.4% 20.7% 24.4% 12.1%
Alexander Maas 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 3.0% 5.2% 8.9% 19.3% 57.8%
Joseph Thuente 25.7% 21.2% 18.2% 14.3% 9.9% 5.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.