Race 8B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jenna Kozal 10.5% 10.3% 11.8% 10.8% 15.0% 14.2% 13.7% 8.8% 3.8% 1.1%
Joseph Thuente 24.8% 22.4% 17.0% 15.4% 9.5% 6.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Stephens 18.3% 17.6% 16.4% 15.4% 13.8% 8.9% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Andrew Gallagher 10.4% 13.2% 13.1% 13.6% 15.1% 14.8% 10.7% 6.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Joseph Mowrey 4.7% 5.6% 5.8% 6.4% 8.1% 10.1% 16.7% 20.9% 16.9% 4.8%
Dominique DeLano 16.4% 11.8% 14.4% 14.0% 13.1% 13.1% 10.2% 4.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Abigail Paul 9.9% 13.8% 12.8% 15.4% 13.6% 15.2% 10.3% 6.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Jolene Jirousek 2.6% 2.8% 4.7% 4.0% 5.8% 8.2% 14.5% 21.3% 23.7% 12.4%
Alexander Maas 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 2.8% 4.5% 10.1% 17.2% 59.5%
Charlie Lemkuil 1.7% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 4.6% 5.9% 10.1% 17.5% 31.6% 20.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.