Race 9B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Thuente 28.7% 21.7% 15.8% 12.5% 9.9% 5.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Stephens 18.6% 19.1% 16.3% 16.5% 12.4% 9.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Jenna Kozal 9.1% 9.9% 11.1% 11.1% 15.0% 17.7% 15.2% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Abigail Paul 10.7% 11.8% 16.6% 14.4% 14.6% 13.9% 10.7% 6.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Dominique DeLano 14.0% 14.1% 15.6% 15.8% 14.5% 12.6% 7.5% 4.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Joseph Mowrey 5.1% 4.9% 5.9% 6.0% 8.8% 12.5% 19.7% 20.4% 13.6% 3.1%
Andrew Gallagher 9.5% 13.9% 12.9% 15.8% 15.2% 13.1% 11.8% 6.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Jolene Jirousek 2.7% 2.9% 4.5% 4.4% 5.1% 10.0% 15.0% 28.0% 19.9% 7.5%
Theresa Villa 0.7% 1.1% 0.6% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 5.8% 11.2% 29.5% 45.7%
Alexander Maas 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 3.6% 4.9% 12.1% 30.2% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.