Race 10B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 19.5% 20.8% 15.6% 15.0% 11.4% 9.1% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Jenna Kozal 9.7% 9.2% 13.0% 12.1% 15.1% 15.3% 13.9% 8.4% 3.0% 0.3%
Abigail Paul 12.4% 11.9% 12.2% 14.3% 15.3% 14.5% 12.3% 5.3% 1.8% 0.0%
Andrew Gallagher 10.7% 12.2% 14.4% 13.6% 15.7% 14.3% 11.2% 6.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Dominique DeLano 14.2% 14.0% 15.6% 14.7% 14.9% 12.1% 9.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Joseph Thuente 26.1% 22.9% 17.9% 14.3% 10.1% 5.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Jolene Jirousek 2.5% 2.1% 3.4% 4.4% 6.5% 9.7% 14.8% 28.7% 20.7% 7.2%
Joseph Mowrey 3.5% 5.0% 6.0% 8.5% 7.9% 13.2% 18.7% 21.9% 12.2% 3.1%
Theresa Villa 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 6.2% 10.8% 28.6% 46.2%
Alexander Maas 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 2.0% 1.4% 4.1% 4.9% 12.3% 30.1% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.