Race 11B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 22.2% 16.4% 16.6% 14.4% 12.7% 9.3% 5.4% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Abigail Paul 10.5% 13.7% 13.3% 14.5% 14.6% 13.7% 11.1% 6.6% 1.9% 0.1%
Jenna Kozal 9.1% 10.0% 11.3% 12.0% 13.9% 18.1% 14.6% 8.1% 2.6% 0.3%
Dominique DeLano 12.9% 14.6% 15.1% 16.5% 14.9% 11.5% 8.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Joseph Thuente 26.6% 23.3% 17.1% 13.6% 9.5% 5.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jolene Jirousek 3.4% 3.2% 3.6% 5.0% 5.7% 8.8% 15.6% 26.5% 21.4% 6.8%
Andrew Gallagher 9.5% 13.1% 14.3% 14.3% 16.7% 12.9% 11.9% 5.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Joseph Mowrey 4.0% 4.1% 6.9% 6.6% 7.8% 14.9% 18.9% 21.8% 11.7% 3.3%
Theresa Villa 0.8% 1.2% 0.6% 1.7% 1.4% 2.1% 5.7% 11.1% 29.3% 46.1%
Alexander Maas 1.0% 0.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.8% 3.1% 5.0% 11.8% 30.6% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.