Race 12B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dominique DeLano 15.2% 14.2% 16.4% 13.5% 12.1% 13.6% 8.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Joseph Thuente 26.6% 21.6% 16.1% 15.7% 10.2% 5.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jenna Kozal 9.0% 11.1% 11.1% 10.1% 14.9% 16.1% 16.0% 8.7% 2.7% 0.3%
Samuel Stephens 18.9% 18.6% 17.2% 16.2% 13.0% 8.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Abigail Paul 11.6% 13.1% 13.5% 14.3% 15.7% 13.9% 10.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Joseph Mowrey 4.9% 4.7% 5.7% 7.1% 8.1% 13.0% 19.3% 21.0% 12.6% 3.6%
Andrew Gallagher 10.0% 12.5% 14.1% 14.8% 15.1% 15.0% 10.9% 5.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Theresa Villa 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 3.0% 5.5% 10.8% 30.9% 43.8%
Jolene Jirousek 2.6% 2.7% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 8.5% 15.0% 29.6% 19.1% 7.6%
Alexander Maas 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.8% 2.9% 5.9% 10.9% 29.5% 43.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.