← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.48+4.53vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.68+2.96vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii3.04+4.48vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.90+3.99vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.54+9.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon2.51+3.76vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.64+2.28vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+3.04vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine3.43-3.32vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego1.56+4.60vs Predicted
-
12Santa Clara University2.22-0.89vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara1.99-0.51vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington0.87+3.85vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas0.71+3.45vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-0.68vs Predicted
-
17Western Washington University1.02-0.20vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis1.68-3.97vs Predicted
-
19California State University Monterey Bay1.64-4.92vs Predicted
-
20University of Oregon-0.09+0.77vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego1.57-6.52vs Predicted
-
22Western Washington University1.62-7.43vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Los Angeles1.83-10.24vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Los Angeles2.63-17.01vs Predicted
-
27University of Puget Sound0.55-8.05vs Predicted
-
28Purdue University-1.06-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.53University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
-
4.96University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
-
7.48University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.99Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
14.63University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
-
9.76University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
-
11.04California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
-
5.68University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
-
14.6University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
-
11.11Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
-
12.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.0%1st Place
-
17.85University of Washington0.870.0%1st Place
-
18.45University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
-
15.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
-
16.8Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
14.03University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
-
14.08California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
-
20.77University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
-
14.48University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
-
14.57Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
-
12.76University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.99University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
-
18.95University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
-
23.4Purdue University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEAN Ross | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Sharp | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Logan Swartz | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Stewart | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 3.6% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 13.9% | 24.9% | 18.5% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Elam | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 7.3% |
| Nick Heymer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 13.6% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.