Race 4A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Castellini 9.7% 10.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.2% 10.4% 8.8% 8.2% 7.9% 6.8% 4.2% 3.1% 1.2%
Charlie Herrick 14.2% 12.4% 13.8% 11.8% 10.8% 8.8% 7.8% 7.6% 5.0% 4.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Juan Casal 13.7% 15.2% 12.3% 10.2% 10.8% 9.7% 8.9% 6.7% 4.7% 4.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Cole Broberg 6.8% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 7.4% 9.3% 9.8% 8.7% 10.0% 9.8% 6.7% 3.2%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.3% 10.2% 9.2% 10.6% 10.7% 10.5% 9.7% 7.5% 6.7% 5.8% 5.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Alden Gort 5.6% 6.8% 7.2% 7.4% 6.6% 7.5% 7.3% 9.0% 10.8% 9.4% 10.4% 7.6% 4.3%
Marco Constantini 3.9% 5.1% 4.9% 4.9% 5.7% 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 9.1% 10.1% 11.7% 14.4% 10.5%
Sam Childers 11.7% 10.2% 10.7% 10.5% 9.2% 8.8% 8.1% 7.9% 7.7% 6.2% 5.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Wyatt Tait 9.2% 8.8% 10.2% 10.4% 8.8% 9.8% 10.0% 8.6% 8.0% 6.5% 4.6% 4.0% 1.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.5% 5.1% 5.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 9.8% 10.2% 11.3% 11.5% 7.8%
Hayden Johansen 4.3% 4.0% 3.6% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 6.7% 7.2% 8.1% 9.9% 13.7% 13.0% 12.6%
Caroline Henry 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.1% 5.2% 7.1% 7.5% 8.5% 10.7% 11.0% 15.9% 12.8%
Benjamin Karle 2.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 5.0% 6.2% 8.7% 15.8% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.