Race 14B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abigail Paul 12.9% 14.6% 13.3% 11.9% 13.5% 14.9% 11.5% 5.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Andrew Gallagher 11.0% 11.9% 14.2% 13.0% 16.0% 14.7% 10.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.3%
Dominique DeLano 14.0% 13.1% 13.6% 14.8% 15.3% 14.6% 9.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Joseph Mowrey 3.8% 3.9% 5.3% 8.6% 8.5% 12.3% 20.0% 23.0% 11.8% 2.8%
Joseph Thuente 25.6% 24.6% 16.6% 14.9% 9.2% 5.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Stephens 21.2% 16.2% 17.7% 15.9% 13.1% 7.8% 5.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Jenna Kozal 7.5% 10.4% 13.3% 13.9% 14.6% 15.7% 13.4% 8.2% 2.7% 0.3%
Jolene Jirousek 2.2% 3.5% 4.4% 4.6% 5.3% 9.1% 16.2% 26.6% 20.4% 7.7%
Alexander Maas 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.7% 5.3% 12.9% 30.8% 42.0%
Theresa Villa 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 2.8% 5.5% 10.6% 28.7% 46.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.