Race 15B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dominique DeLano 14.7% 15.4% 13.3% 15.5% 12.5% 14.3% 9.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Jenna Kozal 8.9% 9.5% 13.9% 11.7% 13.6% 16.9% 13.6% 8.3% 3.3% 0.3%
Samuel Stephens 18.8% 17.6% 15.5% 17.4% 13.9% 9.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Gallagher 10.5% 11.6% 15.5% 14.2% 15.8% 13.2% 11.0% 6.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Joseph Thuente 25.6% 25.1% 17.7% 13.2% 7.6% 6.4% 2.6% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Abigail Paul 13.3% 11.8% 13.3% 13.7% 15.7% 13.8% 12.0% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Alexander Maas 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 5.3% 12.6% 30.1% 43.9%
Joseph Mowrey 3.8% 4.9% 5.6% 7.8% 10.0% 10.9% 20.0% 23.0% 11.2% 2.8%
Jolene Jirousek 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 6.7% 9.9% 15.5% 26.2% 21.1% 7.5%
Theresa Villa 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 2.2% 2.9% 4.9% 11.3% 30.3% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.