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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+4.93vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.71vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.85+2.36vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11-1.20vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.77-1.48vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74-2.37vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-1.10vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.58Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.71U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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6.36Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
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3.8Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.52Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.63Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.9Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 16.8% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Tanner Kelly | 18.3% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 24.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.9% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 12.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 35.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.