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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Daniel Hodges 6.6% 5.1% 8.9% 8.5% 10.6% 10.3% 15.6% 18.1% 16.3%
Connor Mraz 16.8% 21.1% 16.8% 13.5% 12.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 1.3%
Tanner Kelly 18.3% 16.8% 15.8% 14.7% 12.3% 10.0% 6.0% 5.1% 1.0%
Stefanos Pappas 4.4% 4.4% 7.0% 8.9% 7.5% 12.2% 13.5% 17.9% 24.2%
Stewart Gurnell 17.9% 19.2% 15.3% 10.2% 11.3% 11.0% 7.8% 5.6% 1.7%
Valerio Palamara 12.2% 11.3% 13.2% 14.3% 12.5% 13.7% 10.8% 7.9% 4.1%
Eden Nykamp 11.5% 10.9% 10.9% 15.6% 13.8% 11.8% 13.6% 7.1% 4.8%
Christopher Magno 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% 5.0% 7.7% 8.6% 11.5% 19.6% 35.4%
Elizabeth Gildea 8.1% 7.0% 8.3% 9.3% 12.1% 13.0% 15.0% 16.0% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.