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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+4.50vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.47vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-0.30vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-0.64vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.77-1.76vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59-0.61vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.28-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.25Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.47U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.7Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.36Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.24Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.39Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.1Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 21.8% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Tanner Kelly | 20.2% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 13.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.3% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 44.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.