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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.22+2.41vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.26vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+2.49vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77+0.30vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28+0.23vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59+0.31vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.11-3.23vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.26Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.49Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.3Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.23Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.31Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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3.77Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.23Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 18.8% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 21.8% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 23.6% | 20.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 15.5% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 43.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.6% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.