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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+3.21vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.48vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-0.29vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-0.63vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11-0.52vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-1.76vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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3.24Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.48U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.71Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.37Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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5.48Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.24Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.26Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 12.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 21.9% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 20.3% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.2% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 6.6% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 23.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 18.4% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.