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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+3.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.37vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.58vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-0.79vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11+0.40vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.01-0.53vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18-0.25vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.77-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.37U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.58Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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3.21Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.4Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.47Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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6.75Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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4.06Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 12.0% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Tanner Kelly | 20.0% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.6% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 21.8% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 23.3% | 14.4% |
| Megan Geith | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| Aidan Young | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 53.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 13.6% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.