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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+2.47vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.11vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+1.18vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11+1.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.22-1.62vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.01-0.56vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74-2.75vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.18-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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3.11Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.18Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.42Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.38U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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5.44Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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4.25Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.75Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.6% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 22.8% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 16.8% |
| Tanner Kelly | 17.9% | 21.7% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Megan Geith | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 5.3% |
| Aidan Young | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 22.4% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.