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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+2.55vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+3.51vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+1.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.22-0.58vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-0.78vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-2.83vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59-0.67vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.01-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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5.51Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.27Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.42U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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4.22Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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3.17Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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6.33Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.53Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.4% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 20.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 18.7% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 11.0% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 22.2% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 21.0% | 41.9% |
| Megan Geith | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 21.4% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.