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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+4.31vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.22+4.58vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.80+2.05vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.26-0.48vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.15+2.49vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.68-0.76vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.99-2.71vs Predicted
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9Washington University0.67-2.75vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.14-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas-0.03-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-0.33-2.91vs Predicted
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13Hope College-0.57-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of Wisconsin1.1412.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Wisconsin0.709.2%1st Place
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7.58University of Michigan0.225.3%1st Place
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6.05Purdue University0.807.6%1st Place
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4.52Marquette University1.2616.4%1st Place
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8.49Northern Michigan University-0.154.2%1st Place
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6.24Northwestern University0.688.6%1st Place
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5.29Arizona State University0.9911.5%1st Place
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6.25Washington University0.678.9%1st Place
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7.46Texas A&M University0.145.5%1st Place
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8.46University of Saint Thomas-0.034.5%1st Place
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9.09University of Minnesota-0.333.2%1st Place
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9.92Hope College-0.572.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Alden Gort | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Sam Childers | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Eric Brieden | 16.4% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Marco Constantini | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Juan Casal | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Wyatt Tait | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Cole Broberg | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 14.2% |
| Hayden Johansen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.