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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+2.55vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+3.46vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+1.28vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-0.80vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.01+0.67vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59+0.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.22-3.49vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.77-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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5.46Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.28Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.2Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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6.23Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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4.1Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.0% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 22.3% | 18.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 5.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 21.8% | 21.4% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Megan Geith | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 23.1% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 40.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 18.9% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 13.8% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.