← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University2.35+2.11vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.74+2.34vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.39vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.11+1.46vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.01+0.63vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University1.77-1.81vs Predicted
-
7Washington College2.11-3.35vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech0.59-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.11Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
-
4.34Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.39U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
-
5.46Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
-
5.63Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.19Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
-
3.65Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
-
6.24Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 24.0% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.4% |
| Tanner Kelly | 19.8% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 20.8% |
| Megan Geith | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 23.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 13.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.7% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.