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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+3.14vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.01+3.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.46vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+2.30vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-0.72vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11-0.63vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.11-3.31vs Predicted
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8Princeton University2.35-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.64Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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3.46U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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6.3Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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4.28Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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5.37Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.69Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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3.12Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 11.3% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Megan Geith | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 21.7% |
| Tanner Kelly | 20.0% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 41.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 19.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.9% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 23.8% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.