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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+4.01vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.04vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.22-0.72vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-0.91vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.77-2.02vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.01-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.04Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.46Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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4.09Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.98Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 30.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 23.1% | 21.3% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.6% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Tanner Kelly | 20.3% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.6% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 10.9% |
| Megan Geith | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 21.0% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.