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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+2.39vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+3.05vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+1.03vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+0.09vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-1.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.22-2.74vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.01-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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5.05Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.03Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.09Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.1Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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5.09Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.3% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 30.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 10.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 22.4% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 20.6% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Megan Geith | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.