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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+2.99vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.40vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.05vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77+0.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.22-1.70vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11-0.95vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.01-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.4Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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3.05Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.06Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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3.3U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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5.05Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 11.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.4% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 22.5% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 12.9% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 11.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 19.0% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 30.7% |
| Megan Geith | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 22.2% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.