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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.22+2.21vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.41vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+1.01vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.01+1.27vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-1.90vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11-0.92vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.41Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.01Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.27Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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3.1Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.08Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.92Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 22.2% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.9% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 12.2% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| Megan Geith | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 22.8% | 35.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 22.5% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 30.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.