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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles2.63+7.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis1.68+11.85vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+5.00vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.54+7.80vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64+1.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.99+3.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.56+4.64vs Predicted
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12University of Texas0.71+6.38vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University2.22-1.55vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay1.64+0.10vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-3.99vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine3.43-10.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego1.57-2.81vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon2.51-8.22vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles1.83-7.97vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University1.62-8.43vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-7.16vs Predicted
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24University of Puget Sound0.55-4.64vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon-0.09-3.97vs Predicted
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26Western Washington University1.02-8.98vs Predicted
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27University of Washington0.87-9.40vs Predicted
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28Purdue University-1.06-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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13.85University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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14.8University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.0%1st Place
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14.64University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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18.38University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
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11.45Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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14.1California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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11.01California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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14.19University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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13.03University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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13.57Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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19.36University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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21.03University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.02Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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17.6University of Washington0.870.0%1st Place
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23.35Purdue University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Jasklowski | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 12.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Swartz | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Sharp | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 4.5% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| John Elam | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.7% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 26.8% | 18.2% |
| Alex Waldron | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Stewart | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Nick Heymer | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 15.2% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.