Race 6A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eric Brieden 15.3% 14.8% 14.4% 11.9% 10.9% 8.0% 7.5% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Charlie Herrick 11.1% 10.8% 11.5% 11.5% 10.4% 8.9% 9.5% 7.7% 5.8% 6.2% 3.5% 2.3% 0.7%
Mary Castellini 8.4% 8.7% 7.8% 9.7% 9.5% 9.8% 8.2% 8.4% 8.9% 7.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9%
Juan Casal 12.8% 10.8% 11.2% 10.2% 9.7% 9.1% 10.2% 7.2% 7.0% 6.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Alden Gort 5.7% 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 6.1% 7.8% 7.6% 8.6% 8.0% 9.8% 9.7% 10.0% 6.4%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 6.2% 8.2% 8.9% 9.3% 10.1% 14.1% 13.0%
Sam Childers 10.2% 8.9% 9.4% 9.2% 8.8% 9.7% 9.8% 10.7% 6.8% 5.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.5%
Cole Broberg 5.1% 7.0% 5.7% 6.2% 8.1% 8.2% 8.5% 8.1% 9.7% 9.3% 10.1% 9.0% 5.1%
Nicholas Chesemore 9.0% 9.2% 9.1% 8.1% 9.7% 8.5% 8.2% 9.6% 8.0% 7.0% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8%
Marco Constantini 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 5.0% 4.8% 5.0% 5.1% 7.0% 8.3% 11.1% 12.7% 13.8% 14.6%
Wyatt Tait 9.2% 9.6% 8.5% 8.8% 9.1% 8.8% 8.6% 7.3% 9.4% 7.8% 6.6% 4.0% 2.2%
Hayden Johansen 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 6.3% 6.0% 7.0% 9.2% 11.3% 16.5% 18.8%
Jack Rutherford 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 4.1% 4.0% 5.3% 7.0% 8.3% 9.9% 15.7% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.