Race 1A

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Molly Hanrahan 9.4% 13.0% 14.1% 13.5% 13.0% 13.4% 11.6% 7.1% 3.7% 1.2%
Thomas Johnson 15.1% 16.7% 16.7% 17.1% 12.5% 10.2% 6.0% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Stephen Poirier 11.8% 13.6% 14.1% 15.3% 16.6% 10.6% 11.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Adrian Winkelman 38.5% 26.8% 17.6% 10.1% 4.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Sullivan 7.9% 9.8% 10.2% 12.9% 13.8% 16.7% 11.6% 9.4% 6.1% 1.6%
Andy Leshaw 7.8% 7.9% 9.7% 11.3% 14.4% 13.8% 13.2% 12.0% 7.2% 2.7%
William Procter 1.1% 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 3.0% 6.0% 7.2% 11.1% 25.4% 41.2%
Norman Walker 1.3% 1.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.9% 5.2% 9.3% 12.3% 23.4% 37.6%
Kate Myler 3.8% 4.6% 6.1% 7.2% 9.9% 12.2% 13.1% 19.7% 16.2% 7.2%
Andrew White 3.3% 5.1% 6.9% 7.7% 8.7% 10.3% 16.0% 18.4% 15.7% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.