Race 2A

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Johnson 15.7% 18.9% 17.0% 15.4% 11.2% 10.6% 5.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Adrian Winkelman 38.1% 25.8% 18.3% 8.6% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 9.1% 11.8% 12.5% 11.8% 16.3% 15.1% 11.2% 7.1% 4.7% 0.4%
Stephen Poirier 10.5% 15.0% 15.0% 17.1% 14.9% 10.9% 9.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.4%
James Sullivan 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 13.9% 12.1% 15.5% 13.9% 9.6% 5.7% 1.7%
Andy Leshaw 7.9% 7.6% 9.7% 11.3% 13.1% 14.2% 14.0% 11.5% 7.6% 3.1%
William Procter 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 3.2% 3.4% 3.8% 7.7% 12.1% 24.8% 41.4%
Andrew White 3.8% 4.7% 7.2% 8.2% 9.6% 11.0% 15.2% 18.8% 15.0% 6.5%
Kate Myler 4.1% 4.1% 6.3% 8.0% 9.8% 11.1% 14.0% 18.5% 16.1% 8.0%
Norman Walker 1.1% 1.8% 2.8% 2.5% 3.9% 5.3% 8.5% 13.3% 22.6% 38.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.