Race 3A

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stephen Poirier 13.2% 15.6% 14.9% 13.2% 13.7% 12.2% 8.4% 5.3% 3.1% 0.4%
Thomas Johnson 14.3% 18.7% 16.8% 16.2% 12.8% 9.9% 6.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Andy Leshaw 5.5% 8.2% 10.8% 9.7% 12.3% 14.1% 16.3% 12.0% 8.3% 2.8%
Molly Hanrahan 8.3% 11.4% 14.9% 14.0% 13.8% 13.8% 11.9% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0%
Adrian Winkelman 41.2% 26.3% 14.1% 10.2% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
William Procter 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 6.0% 12.0% 22.4% 42.1%
James Sullivan 6.5% 7.8% 12.1% 13.5% 14.1% 14.7% 13.1% 10.5% 6.1% 1.6%
Norman Walker 1.1% 1.9% 2.0% 3.6% 4.8% 5.4% 8.0% 12.7% 23.3% 37.2%
Andrew White 4.4% 4.0% 6.5% 7.8% 10.4% 11.7% 15.6% 17.0% 15.6% 7.0%
Kate Myler 3.7% 4.5% 5.4% 8.7% 9.2% 11.6% 13.6% 18.9% 16.5% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.