Race 4A

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Johnson 15.2% 15.7% 16.2% 14.8% 14.1% 9.9% 7.3% 4.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Stephen Poirier 10.9% 12.3% 13.8% 14.7% 14.8% 13.1% 10.6% 7.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Adrian Winkelman 34.0% 24.5% 20.0% 10.9% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew White 3.0% 4.7% 5.0% 6.8% 9.3% 14.4% 14.7% 18.7% 15.2% 8.2%
Andy Leshaw 6.3% 8.3% 8.7% 11.1% 12.2% 13.4% 15.6% 13.9% 7.8% 2.7%
Olivia Lowthian 19.9% 18.5% 16.7% 16.3% 12.7% 8.1% 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
James Sullivan 5.3% 8.8% 9.9% 13.0% 14.5% 15.0% 14.5% 10.7% 6.2% 2.1%
William Procter 0.6% 1.6% 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.6% 8.1% 11.6% 25.2% 39.2%
Kate Myler 3.5% 4.3% 5.4% 6.1% 8.9% 12.9% 14.7% 20.1% 15.8% 8.3%
Norman Walker 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 5.7% 8.5% 10.3% 25.4% 39.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.