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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+3.87vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.99+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+2.86vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.80+1.36vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.14+1.97vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.68-0.10vs Predicted
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7Washington University0.67-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.22-0.90vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-0.15-0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.03-2.06vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.31-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-0.33-3.22vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-1.09-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87University of Wisconsin1.1414.4%1st Place
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4.93Arizona State University0.9913.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Wisconsin0.7010.1%1st Place
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5.36Purdue University0.8011.7%1st Place
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6.97Texas A&M University0.147.0%1st Place
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5.9Northwestern University0.689.6%1st Place
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5.85Washington University0.679.7%1st Place
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7.1University of Michigan0.225.7%1st Place
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8.33Northern Michigan University-0.154.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Saint Thomas-0.034.9%1st Place
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8.59Hope College-0.313.9%1st Place
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8.78University of Minnesota-0.333.6%1st Place
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10.52Marquette University-1.092.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Juan Casal | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Sam Childers | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Cole Broberg | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Wyatt Tait | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Alden Gort | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 9.6% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% |
| Hayden Johansen | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 12.8% |
| Benjamin Karle | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.