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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles2.63+7.81vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+5.98vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.57+11.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis1.68+9.86vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.22+6.25vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64+2.31vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+3.10vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.68-4.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.99+2.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine3.43-6.15vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-5.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+1.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.54-0.39vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.87+1.37vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.62-4.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.56-4.52vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University1.02-2.90vs Predicted
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21University of Texas0.71-3.14vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay1.64-7.83vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon2.51-12.90vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles1.83-11.21vs Predicted
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26University of Puget Sound0.55-6.93vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon-0.09-5.82vs Predicted
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28Purdue University-1.06-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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7.98Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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14.53University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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13.86University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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11.25Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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11.1California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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4.77University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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12.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.0%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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15.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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14.61University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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17.37University of Washington0.870.0%1st Place
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13.93Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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14.48University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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17.1Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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17.86University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
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14.17California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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19.07University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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21.18University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
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23.41Purdue University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Lee | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 16.5% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Swartz | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Stewart | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Sharp | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Waldron | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Hazel Mahony | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Philip Gordon | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| John Elam | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 6.1% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 27.9% | 18.7% |
| Nick Heymer | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 14.9% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.