Race 5A

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian Winkelman 37.6% 24.8% 16.3% 9.6% 6.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 16.6% 18.9% 20.2% 15.0% 13.0% 7.5% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Andy Leshaw 6.1% 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 12.1% 16.7% 15.2% 14.4% 9.0% 1.6%
Kate Myler 2.4% 4.1% 4.7% 9.1% 8.4% 11.5% 15.8% 19.1% 16.5% 8.4%
Thomas Johnson 14.1% 15.2% 16.0% 17.1% 14.8% 10.4% 6.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Stephen Poirier 10.9% 13.6% 14.8% 15.6% 14.1% 12.5% 10.0% 5.8% 2.4% 0.3%
William Procter 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.4% 3.6% 4.9% 8.1% 11.2% 24.8% 41.7%
Andrew White 3.5% 4.1% 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 11.9% 15.0% 19.3% 15.3% 7.6%
James Sullivan 6.4% 9.4% 9.4% 11.7% 15.0% 16.4% 13.3% 10.0% 6.5% 1.9%
Norman Walker 1.3% 1.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.7% 8.0% 14.1% 23.5% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.