Race 6A

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olivia Lowthian 19.2% 18.6% 19.4% 13.8% 11.1% 8.9% 4.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Thomas Johnson 12.7% 16.5% 15.6% 16.6% 13.6% 10.9% 8.0% 4.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Adrian Winkelman 34.3% 24.3% 18.6% 12.5% 6.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen Poirier 10.4% 12.7% 14.8% 16.1% 14.5% 12.9% 10.6% 5.4% 1.9% 0.7%
Andy Leshaw 6.5% 8.8% 7.5% 9.5% 13.6% 15.0% 15.7% 13.2% 7.8% 2.4%
Kate Myler 4.9% 4.7% 4.4% 5.7% 9.7% 11.9% 13.9% 18.8% 17.2% 8.8%
Andrew White 2.8% 3.9% 5.6% 7.6% 8.3% 14.0% 17.3% 17.6% 15.1% 7.8%
Norman Walker 1.3% 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 4.2% 5.6% 6.9% 13.6% 26.2% 36.1%
James Sullivan 6.7% 8.0% 10.3% 13.3% 14.3% 13.3% 15.2% 10.9% 6.3% 1.7%
William Procter 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 4.0% 5.0% 6.6% 12.2% 23.8% 42.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.