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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Molly Hanrahan 10.1% 12.3% 14.0% 13.1% 12.7% 13.8% 11.7% 6.5% 4.4% 1.4%
Stephen Poirier 11.1% 13.9% 14.7% 17.2% 13.2% 12.9% 9.0% 6.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Thomas Johnson 15.2% 15.3% 17.2% 14.8% 15.4% 10.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 38.6% 27.6% 15.6% 9.5% 5.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Procter 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 3.3% 5.6% 7.6% 10.7% 22.1% 41.2%
James Sullivan 9.5% 9.1% 9.4% 12.9% 14.4% 13.7% 10.6% 11.8% 6.5% 2.1%
Andrew White 2.7% 5.0% 7.2% 7.8% 8.3% 11.8% 16.0% 18.5% 15.0% 7.7%
Andy Leshaw 6.0% 8.9% 10.9% 10.5% 13.4% 13.3% 14.8% 12.8% 6.8% 2.6%
Kate Myler 4.0% 4.3% 6.1% 7.6% 9.6% 11.7% 13.6% 18.4% 17.0% 7.7%
Norman Walker 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 9.2% 11.5% 25.2% 37.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.