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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.61+3.63vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.06+0.83vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.00-1.73vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.37+3.27vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39-0.90vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.26-0.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.48vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
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2.27Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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8.27Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.1University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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6.5Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Hanrahan | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Johnson | 15.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 38.6% | 27.6% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Procter | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 22.1% | 41.2% |
| James Sullivan | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Andrew White | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 7.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Kate Myler | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 7.7% |
| Norman Walker | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 25.2% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.