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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+1.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.85vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.09+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.03+1.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+0.11vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.76-0.03vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-1.82vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-2.51-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.85-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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2.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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3.73Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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6.63University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.97Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.2Fairfield University-2.510.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 40.1% | 27.3% | 19.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 23.0% | 24.7% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| Seth Pardi | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 10.7% |
| Meghan Berg | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 27.4% | 31.8% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 21.7% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.