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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.64vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.84vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68-0.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.09-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.03+0.61vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-0.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-0.95vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.76-1.12vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-2.51-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-4.37-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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2.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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2.16Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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4.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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6.61University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.88Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.91Fairfield University-2.510.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-4.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 12.7% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 24.4% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 39.1% | 28.8% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seth Pardi | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 8.2% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 0.6% |
| Meghan Berg | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 1.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 18.9% | 4.6% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 43.7% | 10.7% |
| Victoria Thompson | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 10.2% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.