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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.68+0.10vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.09-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.03+0.62vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-0.01vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-1.10vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.76-1.11vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-2.51-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-4.37-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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2.1Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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2.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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4.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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6.62University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.89Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.91Fairfield University-2.510.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-4.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 12.3% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 42.7% | 26.0% | 17.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 20.8% | 24.2% | 22.5% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seth Pardi | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| Meghan Berg | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 24.3% | 19.1% | 4.6% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 44.3% | 10.6% |
| Victoria Thompson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 10.1% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.