Race 4B

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Egeli 20.1% 25.4% 20.8% 16.3% 9.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 41.8% 25.9% 16.8% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 12.6% 14.6% 19.2% 17.1% 15.4% 11.8% 6.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Asofsky 7.1% 9.4% 13.8% 15.1% 16.9% 14.2% 11.6% 6.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Kennard MacVaugh 2.3% 2.6% 3.8% 4.9% 6.0% 9.7% 11.5% 16.3% 15.7% 15.5% 11.7%
Seth Pardi 6.8% 8.7% 11.2% 14.2% 17.3% 13.9% 10.8% 8.7% 5.1% 2.7% 0.6%
Will Rudaz 3.3% 4.3% 3.9% 7.2% 8.9% 12.6% 16.2% 13.4% 14.3% 11.0% 4.9%
Samantha Gulachenski 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 3.6% 5.2% 8.1% 11.8% 16.3% 49.1%
Meghan Berg 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 4.7% 6.5% 9.2% 13.5% 16.0% 17.1% 15.4% 8.9%
Andy Giaya 2.1% 3.5% 3.2% 6.3% 7.7% 9.7% 13.6% 15.5% 15.1% 16.0% 7.3%
Evelyn Lane 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 3.6% 5.0% 9.0% 9.1% 12.7% 16.6% 21.6% 17.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.