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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+1.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.89vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.85vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28+3.66vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.03+1.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.09-2.42vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-0.49vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-2.51+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-2.58vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.76-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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2.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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3.85Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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6.94University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.61Fairfield University-2.510.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.25Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 37.8% | 28.4% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 23.5% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.3% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Berg | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 8.9% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Seth Pardi | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 8.6% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 53.3% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.